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South Ark Daily Picks / Player Prop Projections

Player Prop Projections

Statistical projections, recorded game logs and empirical threshold estimates. Model Projection Only.

College FootballNFL

Player models vs cached sportsbook lines

Model research only. Historical frequencies are descriptive, unvalidated and not calibrated forecasts. Ties are pushes; the price comparison excludes pushes. No positive-EV or betting recommendation is established.

No verified fresh player-line/model matches. Missing inputs remain unavailable.

Preliminary player research

These are descriptive statistical baselines. Injuries, active roster status, expected role and opponent adjustments are unverified. Empirical samples are small and do not establish calibrated betting probabilities. Any separately displayed sportsbook snapshots are independent observations; model estimates remain preliminary.

62 statistical projections

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Travis Kelce

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION61.5

Season average 61.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0415.0
2026-09-2759.0
2026-09-20101.0
2026-09-1471.0

Empirical distribution: 71.0, 101.0, 59.0, 15.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Travis Kelce

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0

Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-209.0
2026-09-143.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 9.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Travis Kelce

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%

Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Darren Waller

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION37.0

Season average 37.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0436.0
2026-09-2751.0
2026-09-2033.0
2026-09-1328.0

Empirical distribution: 28.0, 33.0, 51.0, 36.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Darren Waller

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.3

Season average 3.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-043.0
2026-09-275.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-132.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 5.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Darren Waller

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Patrick Mahomes

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION259.3

Season average 259.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing yards
2026-10-04225.0
2026-09-27246.0
2026-09-20382.0
2026-09-14184.0

Empirical distribution: 184.0, 382.0, 246.0, 225.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Patrick Mahomes

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3

Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing touchdowns
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-142.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Patrick Mahomes

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.3

Season average 10.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-2017.0
2026-09-1423.0

Empirical distribution: 23.0, 17.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Patrick Mahomes

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0

Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-147.0

Empirical distribution: 7.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Patrick Mahomes

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-141.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION76.5

Season average 76.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-04122.0
2026-09-2782.0
2026-09-2053.0
2026-09-1349.0

Empirical distribution: 49.0, 53.0, 82.0, 122.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION15.3

Season average 15.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-0420.0
2026-09-2719.0
2026-09-2012.0
2026-09-1310.0

Empirical distribution: 10.0, 12.0, 19.0, 20.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.0

Season average 21.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-047.0
2026-09-2728.0
2026-09-2011.0
2026-09-1338.0

Empirical distribution: 38.0, 11.0, 28.0, 7.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.5

Season average 2.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-274.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-133.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 2.0, 4.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY75.0%

Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-132.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tommy Tremble

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION20.5

Season average 20.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0412.0
2026-09-2741.0
2026-09-204.0
2026-09-1325.0

Empirical distribution: 25.0, 4.0, 41.0, 12.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tommy Tremble

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8

Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-044.0
2026-09-273.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-133.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 3.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tommy Tremble

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tyquan Thornton

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION54.8

Season average 54.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-04111.0
2026-09-2722.0
2026-09-2086.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 86.0, 22.0, 111.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tyquan Thornton

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8

Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-045.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-204.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 4.0, 2.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tyquan Thornton

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kenneth Walker III

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION134.3

Season average 134.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-04177.0
2026-09-2770.0
2026-09-20117.0
2026-09-14173.0

Empirical distribution: 173.0, 117.0, 70.0, 177.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kenneth Walker III

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.8

Season average 21.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-0422.0
2026-09-2718.0
2026-09-2024.0
2026-09-1423.0

Empirical distribution: 23.0, 24.0, 18.0, 22.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kenneth Walker III

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.0

Season average 21.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-273.0
2026-09-2061.0
2026-09-1418.0

Empirical distribution: 18.0, 61.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kenneth Walker III

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0

Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-143.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 6.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kenneth Walker III

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY75.0%

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-142.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 0.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Nikko Remigio

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brycen Tremayne

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION28.8

Season average 28.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0432.0
2026-09-2783.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 83.0, 32.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brycen Tremayne

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-274.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brycen Tremayne

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bryce Young

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION317.0

Season average 317.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing yards
2026-10-04329.0
2026-09-27291.0
2026-09-20287.0
2026-09-13361.0

Empirical distribution: 361.0, 287.0, 291.0, 329.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bryce Young

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3

Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing touchdowns
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-133.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bryce Young

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.8

Season average 4.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-043.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-1310.0

Empirical distribution: 10.0, 6.0, 0.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bryce Young

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-043.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-132.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bryce Young

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Xavier Worthy

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION33.3

Season average 33.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0470.0
2026-09-2720.0
2026-09-2025.0
2026-09-1418.0

Empirical distribution: 18.0, 25.0, 20.0, 70.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Xavier Worthy

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.5

Season average 3.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-044.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-205.0
2026-09-143.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 5.0, 2.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Xavier Worthy

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION96.3

Season average 96.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-04192.0
2026-09-2717.0
2026-09-20101.0
2026-09-1375.0

Empirical distribution: 75.0, 101.0, 17.0, 192.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION6.5

Season average 6.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-0414.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-205.0
2026-09-135.0

Empirical distribution: 5.0, 5.0, 2.0, 14.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mitchell Evans

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION16.5

Season average 16.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-048.0
2026-09-2736.0
2026-09-2013.0
2026-09-139.0

Empirical distribution: 9.0, 13.0, 36.0, 8.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mitchell Evans

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-273.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mitchell Evans

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Noah Gray

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION15.3

Season average 15.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0417.0
2026-09-2739.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-145.0

Empirical distribution: 5.0, 0.0, 39.0, 17.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Noah Gray

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-273.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-141.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Noah Gray

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

AJ Dillon

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.8

Season average 10.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-2716.0
2026-09-20-3.0
2026-09-1328.0

Empirical distribution: 28.0, -3.0, 16.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

AJ Dillon

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3

Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-045.0
2026-09-274.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-135.0

Empirical distribution: 5.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

AJ Dillon

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8

Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-045.0
2026-09-27-2.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, -2.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

AJ Dillon

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5

Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

AJ Dillon

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Feleipe Franks

CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jalen Royals

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3

Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-2711.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 6.0, 11.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jalen Royals

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8

Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jalen Royals

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-140.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Emmett Johnson

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION14.0

Season average 14.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-2717.0
2026-09-2015.0
2026-09-1424.0

Empirical distribution: 24.0, 15.0, 17.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Emmett Johnson

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0

Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-276.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-148.0

Empirical distribution: 8.0, 2.0, 6.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Emmett Johnson

KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION18.5

Season average 18.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0410.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-2020.0
2026-09-1444.0

Empirical distribution: 44.0, 20.0, 0.0, 10.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 2:09:48 PM CDT

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NFL

Passing yards · Passing touchdowns · Rushing yards · Rushing attempts · Receiving yards · Receptions · Anytime touchdown

Preliminary projections where recorded samples meet minimum requirements.

Sportsbook player prop lines

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